01 dezembro 2012

A QUEDA DO IMPÉRIO :

Across The Street -  28 Nov 2012 - clique aqui .
2001, EUA era 32% do PIB global. Hoje só 22%, caiu 32%. Japão cai 54% desde 90. China sobe 153%.
According to the World Bank, the U.S. represented 31.8% of the world’s economic activity in 2001. By the end of 2011, that share had dropped to 21.6%, meaning America’s slice of the world economy is 32% smaller than it was a decade ago, and getting smaller every day. Note that America’s housing bubble did nothing to boost the U.S. on the global stage. As horrific as these results are, they’re better than Japan’s, whose “lost decade” proved only to be prologue for its “lost-er decade.” Japan’s share of the world economy fell more than 35% from 2001 to 2011 (literally worse than Zimbabwe) and has now shriveled 54% from its peak. But Japan’s real collapse did not coincide with the bursting of its stock and real estate bubbles in 1990 and 1991 respectively. The decline actually began in 1995 when policymakers allowed government debt to exceed 90% of GDP (a milestone the U.S. quietly passed in 2010).
All these failing countries are in death spirals for the same reason: They believe that they have the ability to avoid recession by simply printing their own money. As America’s 100-year numbskull (and current Federal Reserve Chairman) Ben Bernanke once mused: “…the U.S. government has a technology, called a printing press (or, today, its electronic equivalent), that allows it to produce as many U.S. dollars as it wishes at essentially no cost.”