Revolução nos EUA virá por desigualdades sociais extremas. Ciclos ocorrem a cada 250 anos.
Financial engineering on Wall Street has accelerated (unfortunately), creating greater speculation and leverage in the economy and generating greater profits for those invested (along with the potential for bubbles to burst like in the 1930s). The Federal Reserve and central banks around the world have also done some engineering of their own, artificially maintaining stock and debt bubbles. They’ve poured free money into the economy, benefiting the banks, financial institutions and the top 1%. This extended bubble is now (belatedly) reaching its peak, a fact we know because income inequality has become so extreme. We’re rapidly approaching the point where, unless something changes, everyday people will start to revolt. This is a fact further supported by the larger political and social revolutionary cycle that occurs about every 250 years, when the average Joe rises up against the excessive gains and tyranny of the rich. In the past we had the Protestant Revolution (early to mid-1500s) against the tyranny of the Catholic Church and the American and French Revolutions in the mid- to late-1700s.
I think that income inequality and special interests have created such an extreme situation today that everyday people will begin to revolt in developed countries. It won’t just be those in the dictator-driven economies of the emerging world trying to make themselves heard and force democracy for the first time. Sure, the coming “Western” revolution won’t be pretty, but it will usher in the next great resurgence of the middle class in developed countries, and it will accelerate the new middle-class surge in emerging countries. This revolution will raise the everyday person up and bring the upper class back down to size — as has every economic revolution in history. And as new technologies move mainstream and become less exclusive, the uprising will gather momentum. So if you’re rich, protect your gains now before Rome falls. If you’re middle class, hunker down and wait for your day in the sun. It will be well worth it when that time comes.